Turnout for Tuesday's schools referendum got a decent bump with the best days yet coming on Tuesday (3,072 votes)and Wednesday (4,195 votes) -- the combined 7,267 votes on those two days makes up 32.4 percent of the 22,413 votes so far cast in early voting.
Headed into today's final day of early voting, 5.3 percent of Memphis's 420,396 registered voters had participated. If today's voting can hit 5,000-plus, which is not unusual for the final day of early voting, the final number for early voting could push close to 28,000. It would take a monster day to get to 30,000.
Cardell Orrin, one of the leaders of the "YES for Unity" campaign and well-respected around town for his number-crunching, points out that special elections recently have seen election days outperform the early-voting period in terms of total votes cast. That contrasts with regular elections, where the breakdown has been closer to 60percent of total turnout coming in early voting vs. about 40 percent on election day. So if we split the difference and go with a 50-50 breakdown, final turnout is looking like it won't get to 60,000 and will be closer to 13 percent than 15 percent.
The top performing neighborhood precincts, in terms of turnout, have been at Glenview Community Center (14.8 percent, 220 votes), Lakeview Elementary School (12.2 percent 297 votes), Havenview Middle School (10.8 percent, 332 votes), Second Baptist Church (10.1 percent, 273 votes) and White Station Middle School (9.8 percent).
The most heavily trafficked early-voting satellite locations have been at Bishop Byrne High School (2,813 votes) in Whitehaven and White Station Church of Christ (2,685) in East Memphis. No other site comes close -- Berclair Church of Christ is third at 1,990.
Headed into today's final day of early voting, 5.3 percent of Memphis's 420,396 registered voters had participated. If today's voting can hit 5,000-plus, which is not unusual for the final day of early voting, the final number for early voting could push close to 28,000. It would take a monster day to get to 30,000.
Cardell Orrin, one of the leaders of the "YES for Unity" campaign and well-respected around town for his number-crunching, points out that special elections recently have seen election days outperform the early-voting period in terms of total votes cast. That contrasts with regular elections, where the breakdown has been closer to 60percent of total turnout coming in early voting vs. about 40 percent on election day. So if we split the difference and go with a 50-50 breakdown, final turnout is looking like it won't get to 60,000 and will be closer to 13 percent than 15 percent.
The top performing neighborhood precincts, in terms of turnout, have been at Glenview Community Center (14.8 percent, 220 votes), Lakeview Elementary School (12.2 percent 297 votes), Havenview Middle School (10.8 percent, 332 votes), Second Baptist Church (10.1 percent, 273 votes) and White Station Middle School (9.8 percent).
The most heavily trafficked early-voting satellite locations have been at Bishop Byrne High School (2,813 votes) in Whitehaven and White Station Church of Christ (2,685) in East Memphis. No other site comes close -- Berclair Church of Christ is third at 1,990.
Leave a comment